Niki kiri inyuma yibiciro byizamuka ryimodoka zikoreshwa?Intuition yanjye ivuga ko ibi bidashobora gukomeza igihe kirekire.Ariko niba aribyo, ni inflation iteye ubwoba.

Implosion StockBricks & MortarCaliforniya Daydreamin'CanadaAutos & AmamodokaCommercial Real EstateCompanies & MarketsConsumersCredit BubbleEnergyEuropean DilemmasFederal ReserveHousing Bubble 2Inflation & DevaluationJobsTradingTransportation
Ibi byakomeje amezi menshi: Ibiciro by'imodoka byakoreshejwe byazamutse cyane kuva bitangaje kugeza bitangaje, kandi mugihe natekerezaga ko ibiciro bidashobora kuzamuka ukundi, barabikoze.
Dukurikije imibare y’imodoka yakoreshejwe, ibiciro byatejwe cyamunara muri Amerika byazamutseho 8.3% muri Mata ugereranije na Werurwe, byiyongereyeho 20% umwaka ushize, 54% kuva muri Mata 2020 na 40% kuva muri Mata 2019. Umubare w’agaciro watangajwe uyu munsi na cyamunara umukoresha Manheim, ishami rya Cox Automotive.Ibintu byose bivanze mumasoko yimodoka yakoreshejwe:
Mu mezi 13 kugeza muri Nzeri 2009, izamuka ry’ibiciro ryaciwe burundu n’ibicuruzwa byabanje kwandikwa, harimo na gahunda yo kubitsa amafaranga yakuyeho igisekuru cyose cy’imodoka zishaje zikoreshwa ku isoko.
Abacuruzi bagura imodoka muri cyamunara kugirango bongere ibicuruzwa byabo bahura nibitangwa bike kandi nabandi bacuruzi benshi bahatanira imodoka imwe.Bavumye rero imbere, bashakisha ibiciro kugirango babone byibuze ibyo bagemura, kandi bizeye ko bashobora guha ibyo biciro bidasobanutse ninyungu nini kubaguzi.Ibiciro byo kugurisha mubisanzwe bikurikirana ibiciro byinshi mugihe cyibyumweru bitandatu.
Abaguzi bafite ubushake bwo kwishyura ibi biciro bisekeje aho kujya mu myigaragambyo: Cox Automotive igereranya ko kugurisha ibicuruzwa by’imodoka byazamutse kugeza kuri miliyoni 22.4 byahinduwe mu gihe cyagenwe n’umwaka ushize muri Mata.Stemis yishyuye neza.
Intuition yanjye ivuga ko guturika gutya bidashobora gukomeza.Niba abaguzi batindiganya kuri ibi biciro hanyuma bagahamagara imyigaragambyo yabaguzi, noneho nyuma yo gukanguka kurangiye kandi ibyo biciro byabasazi bikoroha, abadandaza bazicara kubintu bimwe bihendutse - ingwate yo gutera inkunga igorofa yabo - niba ibyo bishobora guteza akajagari babikora.
Nk’uko byatangajwe na Cox Automotive, ibarura ryinshi mu mpera za Mata ryaragabanutse kugera ku minsi 17 yo kugurisha, mu gihe iminsi 23 yo gutanga ari ibisanzwe.Gucuruza imodoka zikoreshwa ni iminsi 33, ugereranije niminsi 44 isanzwe.
Imbuto z'ibibazo byakoreshejwe mu gutanga imodoka zabibwe umwaka ushize ubwo ubucuruzi bwo gukodesha imodoka bwasenyuka kandi amasosiyete akodesha imodoka yagabanije amato yabo agurisha imodoka zisanzwe no kugabanya ibicuruzwa ku modoka nshya.Aba nyuma bahagaritse kwinjiza imodoka nshya mumato akodeshwa umwaka ushize nuyu mwaka.
Ariko ubu ubucuruzi bwo gukodesha buragenda bwiyongera mugihe abantu batangiye kongera kugenda kandi imodoka zikodeshwa zirahari.
Ibura ry'ibicuruzwa biragoye kubyuzuza ubu, kubera ko ibura rya semiconductor ryibasiye abakora amamodoka mu ntangiriro zuyu mwaka.Bafunze inganda bahagarika amasaha;babishyize imbere kubyara imodoka zohejuru kugirango basubize igihombo mumibare.Ford yatangaje ko umusaruro wacyo ku isi ushobora kugabanukaho 50% mu gihembwe cya kabiri.Muri ibi bihe, kugurisha ubukode bwamato make yahagaritswe.Amato yimodoka akodeshwa yarwaniye kubona imodoka nshya.
Avis yihanangirije muri raporo yayo ya buri gihembwe 10-Q yagejeje kuri SEC ku ya 4 Gicurasi ko idashobora kubona imodoka zihagije ku mato yayo:
Ati: “Duhura n'ingaruka zijyanye no gutanga amamodoka, harimo n'ibura ry'amashanyarazi ku isi.”
Ati: “Kubera impamvu zitandukanye, harimo no gufunga ibikoresho by’ibikorwa cyangwa izindi mpamvu, twariboneye kandi dushobora gutinda kwongera kwakira imodoka nshya ziva mu bakora amamodoka.
Ati: "By'umwihariko, ibura rya semiconductor ku isi rifite ingaruka nini ku nganda nyinshi, cyane cyane inganda zitwara ibinyabiziga, bigira ingaruka ku bakora amamodoka menshi aduha imodoka.
Ati: “Urugero, inganda zimwe z’imodoka muri Amerika ya Ruguru ndetse no mu bindi bihugu zahagaritse cyangwa zigabanya umusaruro w’imodoka kubera ibura rya semiconductor zikoreshwa mu gukora imodoka.
Ati: “Kubera iyo mpamvu, ibura ry'ibikoresho bitangwa na semiconductor ryagize, kandi biteganijwe ko bizakomeza kugira ingaruka ku byoherezwa mu binyabiziga bishya, bikaba bishobora kugorana guhaza ibyo abaguzi bakeneye.”
Andi mato akodeshwa ahura nikibazo kimwe: ababikora bafite ibibazo bikomeye byo guteranya imodoka kubera ikibazo cya semiconductor babishyira kumatara yinyuma.
Nk’uko ikinyamakuru Car Rental News kibitangaza ngo mu mezi ane ya mbere ya 2021, kugurisha amato byagabanutseho 48% bivuye kuri 693.000 muri 2019 bigera ku 360.000 muri uyu mwaka, ugereranije n’icyo gihe cyo muri 2019.
Amato yimodoka akodeshwa ubu afata imodoka bafite igihe kirekire hanyuma azishyira cyamunara hamwe na mileage ndende.Nk’uko Cox abitangaza ngo impuzandengo y'ibirometero by'imodoka ikodeshwa-ishobora kugurishwa muri cyamunara mu myaka yashize (izo modoka zitari muri gahunda yo kugura ibicuruzwa) ahanini ziri hagati y'ibirometero 40.000 na 50.000.Ariko muri Werurwe, impuzandengo y'ibirometero yasimbutse ibirometero 12,000 igera kuri kilometero 67.000 uvuye muri kilometero ndende muri Gashyantare.Muri Mata, impuzandengo y'ibirometero yazamutse igera kuri 82800!
Ndetse n'ubwiyongere bukabije bwa mileage, igiciro cyo hagati yibi bice bikodeshwa - niko isoko ari umusazi - yazamutseho 32% umwaka ushize.
Amato akodeshwa kuri ubu ni abaguzi nyamukuru muri cyamunara, hiyongereyeho igitutu cyibiciro.Buri gihe bagura imodoka zimwe muri cyamunara kugirango bahuze ibyifuzo byaho, ibi ntabwo ari shyashya.Ariko ubu biraba murwego runini.
Mu magambo ye, Bloomberg yagize ati: "Itsinda ryacu ryo kugura amato riragoye gukora kugira ngo haboneke ibinyabiziga byinshi, byaba bishya ndetse n'ibirometero bike bikoreshwa, binyuze mu nzira zose kugira ngo bikemuke."
Umuvugizi wa Hertz yabwiye Bloomberg ko iyi sosiyete “igura imodoka zikoresha ibirometero bike zikoresha imodoka zituruka ahantu hatandukanye, harimo nka cyamunara, cyamunara kuri interineti, abacuruzi ndetse na gahunda yo gukodesha imodoka.”
Kuruhande rwabakiriya bareba ubucuruzi bwabo, amato yimodoka akodesha akora ubwatsi iyo izuba rirashe kandi rikazamura ubukode kumasoko aho bishoboka - ukongerera lisansi umuriro wumuriro, urakeka.
Ishimire gusoma UMUHANDA W'IMBORO kandi ushaka kubishyigikira?Koresha guhagarika kwamamaza - Ndumva rwose impamvu - ariko ushaka gushyigikira urubuga?Urashobora gutanga.Ndishimye cyane.Kanda kuri byeri hamwe nicyayi cyicyayi kugirango umenye uko:
Gusa kugirango nkwereke ukuntu ari umusazi kuba ntunze Infiniti yimyaka 20 itarasohoka muri garage kandi abajura bafashwe na GPS.Ababigizemo uruhare bavuga ko ubujura bw’imodoka bwikubye kabiri mu 2021.
Nzi neza ko Amerika yazamuye imyaka igera kuri 30, hazaba imodoka nyinshi zikoreshwa ziteguye gutumizwa mu mahanga.:)
Mfite imyaka 65 kandi ababyeyi banjye baracyariho.Bafite imodoka ntoya ya mileage hamwe n'ikamyo yo hagati.Byombi bizaragwa cyangwa bigurishwa.Ibi bisa nkibisanzwe nkuko abana bavuka bakura.
Bisobanura "umucuruzi", nko mumodoka yakoreshejwe na Joe, ntabwo umucuruzi wa Ford wakoreye, kuko basa nibasiga ibintu byiza aho kugirango bongere kugurisha, sibyo?Ahari umucuruzi / umucuruzi SHIP ni jargon Nabuze hano?Abacuruzi bamwe nabo bagomba kugura icyuho muri cyamunara?Ntekereza ko iki aricyo kibazo cyanjye rwose (iki gihe nasomye ingingo kabiri).Nanone mu ntangiriro ya za 80, nagiye muri cyamunara hamwe numusore ufite "uruhushya rwo kwinjira / kugura" na se.Baguze imbere ninyuma yurukwavu rwose barabiteka hamwe nkimwe mubikorwa byabo.Mu murima munini wibyondo ukikije Sears Point IIRC.(Yaguze kandi asana Honda 500 4).Ikibazo cya kabiri rero, ni cyamunara uvuga itagaragara, cyangwa abapiganwa bazerera munzira?Imodoka nyinshi zimeze neza, zirimo umukungugu.
Abacuruzi bagura muri cyamunara ni abadandaza bigenga cyangwa abadandaza.cyangwa undi wese wemerewe kugura muri cyamunara.
Ntabwo ari imyaka 30, ahubwo ni imyaka 25.Intara zimwe zifite ibindi bisabwa bitandukanye.Hano hari amakuru amwe:
Urakoze Mike Uru ni urubuga rwiza rwo kongeramo icyegeranyo cyanjye gikura.Ibyo ari byo byose, nabonye igisubizo cya CA nari ntegereje.
I Washington, umubare w’ubujura bw’imodoka wiyongereye.Amatangazo hafi ya bisi ya metero agira ati: "Iyo usimbutse, basimbuka" (ikintu nkicyo).Imodoka ntabwo ari moderi, gusa moderi yimodoka isanzwe.Nasomye ingingo muri NPR (nasomye NPR) ivuga ko nabahindura catalitike bashobora kubona amafaranga kumodoka zishaje.Ikintu cyanteye ubwoba cyane nuko narafashwe mfite isura yumwana yingimbi.Birashoboka gusa kurugendo cyangwa gutegura ibyoherezwa mumujyi wa Mexico.ninde uzi nyakubahwa?
Cobalt, CATS yibwe muri DC imyaka myinshi, mbega umwanya ushimishije mumurwa mukuru wigihugu cyacu.Wabonye ihinduka ryibiciro bya platine na palladium mumyaka ibiri ishize?Icyampa nkagura bimwe!
Ubujura bw'injangwe bwa DWY bwahindutse isi yose icyaha cy '"ubucuruzi".Barushanwe kugirango barebe uwabasohoka byihuse hamwe na bateri ikoreshwa na angle grinder hamwe n'ukuboko kurekure.Tekereza "nyampinga" uriho mumasegonda 10 kuva utangiye kugeza urangiye!
Injangwe zigezweho ni "inyabutatu".Bakoresheje rhodium (birashoboka ko cerium muri 90) kimwe na platine na palladium kugirango bakore imiti ikurikirana cyane.Ndakeka ko injangwe zibwe zashongeshejwe amafaranga gusa, kubera imiterere yubuki bukomeye bwa ceramic.Nibice byabigenewe bifite agaciro.Gishya bagura kuva 1000 kugeza 2000 $ nibindi byinshi.Ikigaragara ni uko imodoka nshya zishobora kwibwa mumodoka nziza, kandi Hybride nayo irahitamo kuko inyuramo lisansi nkeya muri zo.
Nibiciro byimibereho yubusumbane bukabije mubyinjira kandi bifite agaciro… tegereza byinshi uko ibintu bigenda nabi.“Umusoro mbonezamubano” ugera kure cyane.Kubwamahirwe, ibice bikennye cyane byabaturage, badashobora gutunga inzu cyangwa inzu ifite igaraje, barababara cyane, bikabije ikibazo.
Catalizator mu karere kanjye ikomeje kwiba.Umuntu wese ufite imodoka nkiyanjye (Honda CRV 2000) agomba guteganya imodoka nshya.
Mu cyumweru gishize, mugenzi wanjye twakoranye bamwibye imodoka yimodoka yari imaze imyaka igera kuri 15 ari ikigirwamana ku mutungo we.Kugeza ubu ntacyo bimaze.
Ibi birasaze, umuturanyi wanjye yibwe F150 yimyaka 15 ashize ubwo yari murugendo muri Home Depot.Igiciro cyinshi cyimodoka yakoreshejwe cyatumye abajura bashize amanga bishoboka.
Byongeye kandi, ntibishoboka ko umuntu utari umunyamwuga yiba Hyundai.Ndakeka ko ariyo mpamvu ikamyo yimyaka 15 ifite agaciro keza cyane niyo ntego nyamukuru.
Yego, ku manywa y'ihangu.Igitangaje nuko abapolisi bafashe raporo babwira abaturanyi banjye ko niyo babafata, umujura azabona amande kandi aribyo.
Birasa nkurwenya, ariko sibyo.Tekereza niba wari rwiyemezamirimo utangiza ubucuruzi kandi ufite ikamyo ishaje kandi mu buryo butunguranye yaribwe kandi ubuzima bwawe bwarashize.
Igikoresho cyiza cya "anti-ubujura" ku modoka ishaje ni coil ya switch na plug insinga ku gipfukisho cyuwagabanije (turavuga imodoka zishaje hano).Ntabwo bizatangira.Niba uzamuye ingofero, birasa "bisanzwe".Ntibyoroshye, yego.Ariko birakora.
Slim Jim irahari hose, ihindagurika kandi yoroshye kwiga.Nanone, nibye ibikoresho bya batiri muri '92 Nissan (nta madirishya yo ku ruhande, yari yoroshye cyane) maze mvuna amadirishya.Muri garage munsi yinzu yanjye no muri complexe nini.Ahari bashizemo igikapu kinini cyo kuryamaho kugirango bacecekeshe urusaku?Birashoboka kuba umuturage wemerewe.Abantu bihebye bakora ibintu byihebye uko byagenda kose, kandi ndizera ko "abanyamwuga" benshi bashaka gutangira inzozi zabo bwite z'Abanyamerika kandi bakeneye kuzigama amafaranga.Umwuka wo kwihangira imirimo…
Nubu sindumva uburyo kubura umushahara kuzamuka kugirango ubushyuhe bushobore gutera ifaranga.Byose bijyanye no gutanga no gusaba, ibyo bikaba bidasanzwe.
Ku giti cyanjye, ndabona ibi ari umutego munini w'ikimasa.Ubusho burimo kugana ku guta agaciro kw'ifaranga / kugarura / kuzenguruka gushya mbere yuko birangira guta agaciro… imyenda yose yigenga irashobora gucapurwa nk '“imfashanyo”… hamwe na banki ikize cyane / igura umutungo ku giciro gito cyane.
Global Crossing yari itumanaho mpuzamahanga ryitumanaho ryitumanaho ryahombye mumyaka 20 ishize kandi ryaguzwe na parasite zisanzwe.Itumanaho ritunguranye kandi rihendutse cyane mubuhinde byabyaye inganda zo guhamagara abahinde.Kugabanuka kwikigo cyo guhamagara abanyamerika.
Inzira yubucuruzi "karemano" isenya abashoramari boroheje, ikungahaza parasite, kandi igabanya akazi.Ariko ni ubwoko bwubukungu bwubukungu abakire barya ibisigaye nkuburemere, nibyiza rero.


Igihe cyo kohereza: Kanama-29-2022